2026 / WEEK 4

Experts vs. Vegas

Your lineup. Two perspectives.
See who the experts and sportsbooks rank higher.

29 players comparedFull PPRFantasyPros via Boris Chen ↗
Which experts?

The expert column is FantasyPros consensus via Boris Chen. Boris Chen aggregates the rankings and calculates tiers; these aren’t his personal picks or rankings created by Squawk.

The saved weekly ranking files don’t list the contributing analysts or an expert count, so we can’t reliably name the individual experts behind this snapshot.

The recap grades this consensus as a whole. It does not grade individual analysts.

Updates until each game kicks off. Started games keep their saved pregame estimates.

Checked
26 players / Full PPR

Comparison ranks are among the players with both sources, not the full expert rankings. Published expert ranks appear under each name. 16 more players are listed below with no matching Vegas estimate.

ExpertsVegasRank
Vegas higher ←0→ Experts higher
#1#120.21
Lamar JacksonQBPublished #2vs. TENNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB2.
#2#716.84.5
#3#317.83
Jalen HurtsQBPublished #5vs. LARNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB5.
#4#517.54.5
Brock PurdyQBPublished #7vs. DENNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB7.
#5#417.74.5
Dak PrescottQBPublished #9at HOUNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB9.
Tyler ShoughQBPublished #10vs. ATLNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB10.
#6#218.34
#7#916.08
Jordan LoveQBPublished #13at TBNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB13.
Kyler MurrayQBPublished #14vs. MIANo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB14.
Matthew StaffordQBPublished #15at PHINo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB15.
Bo NixQBPublished #16at SFNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB16.
C.J. StroudQBPublished #17vs. DALNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB17.
Geno SmithQBPublished #18at CHINo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB18.
#8#816.48
Jacoby BrissettQBPublished #20at NYGNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB20.
#9#617.17.5
Justin HerbertQBPublished #22at SEANo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB22.
Sam DarnoldQBPublished #23vs. LACNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB23.
#10#1015.310
Michael PenixQBPublished #25at NONo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB25.
Jameis WinstonQBPublished #26vs. ARINo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB26.
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Default order follows the published expert rankings. Average-rank sorting uses the matched comparison ranks. These are positional ranks, not an overall cross-position ranking. Bars show only the rank difference: orange left means Vegas ranks higher; purple right means Experts rank higher. A dot at zero means the same rank. Every row uses the same scale within the selected position. Search and direction filters preserve that scale. Projected points are our Full PPR estimates from sportsbook props. Comparison ranks reorder only the matched players; they are not the published expert ranks. Published ranks come from Boris Chen and appear under each name. No expert point projections are displayed.

Methodology ↗

Full PPR rankings loaded

THE PLAYER PERSPECTIVE
PLAYER DETAIL
PM

KC / QB

Patrick Mahomes

Experts rank higher
EXPERTSQB2
/
VEGASQB7

5 ranks apart · 10 matched QBs

THE EXPERT VIEW

Tier 1at LV
Published position rank
QB3
Average expert rank
2.88
Updated Sep 29, 9:00 AM ETBoris Chen · FantasyPros data ↗
Reddit context100% scored

45 positive36 neutral5 negative

Mentions in 7 days
86
Discussion threads
50
24h mention change
+2
Weighted sentiment
+69.3 / 100
Our prop-derived estimate↗

16.8PPR pts

2 sportsbooks · Week 4

Market data: Sep 29, 8:23 AM ET.

Methodology ↗
29 players comparedWhy this many?

Players with both sources are compared. Other verified expert-ranked players remain listed with their published rank and no Vegas estimate.

  1. 151Verified weekly expert players
  2. 41Qualifying sportsbook estimates
  3. 29Matched on both sides

We require a matching position, this week’s opponent, a current source timestamp, core sportsbook markets and a future kickoff at capture. Each position needs at least five matches. Missing props or rankings reduce the overlap.

WEEK 4 COMPARISON

The same players. Two rankings.

Expert consensus from FantasyPros via Boris Chen. Vegas fantasy estimates calculated from posted sportsbook props.

Both sides rank the same matched players within each position. We verify the expert file’s week, scoring format and opponent, and require usable pregame sportsbook coverage. Published source ranks and timestamps appear in each player’s details. The source files don’t identify individual contributing analysts.

Vegas points are our estimates, not fantasy totals published by sportsbooks. Sources update on their collection schedules; gaps and delays can reduce coverage. This link always refers to 2026 Week 4. Unplayed games keep updating as props arrive. Each player’s saved estimates stop updating at their kickoff; newer weeks never replace this edition. Players without qualifying Vegas data stay visible with their published expert rank.

See who had Week 1 right →