2026 / WEEK 2

Experts vs. Vegas

The Week 2 results are in.
See how the saved pregame rankings held up.

144 players comparedStandardFantasyPros via Boris Chen ↗Week 2 recap ↓
Which experts?

The expert column is FantasyPros consensus via Boris Chen. Boris Chen aggregates the rankings and calculates tiers; these aren’t his personal picks or rankings created by Squawk.

The saved weekly ranking files don’t list the contributing analysts or an expert count, so we can’t reliably name the individual experts behind this snapshot.

The recap grades this consensus as a whole. It does not grade individual analysts.

Pregame rankings locked · Saved Sep 21, 2:23 PM ET

YOUR TEAM. YOUR NEXT MOVE.

Two rankings. One lineup spot.

Text an AI fantasy assistant your options. Get a recommendation with the reasoning, then ask a follow-up.

7 days, up to 10 alert texts and 12 advice replies. The allowances are separate. No card or automatic charge.

27 players / Standard

Comparison ranks are among the players with both sources, not the full expert rankings. Published expert ranks appear under each name. 1 more players are listed below with no matching Vegas estimate.

ExpertsVegasRank
Vegas higher ←0→ Experts higher
#1#123.81
#2#220.02
#3#419.13.5
#4#518.94.5
#5#818.16.5
#6#6.518.36.25
#7#319.85
#8#14.516.511.25
#9#1017.49.5
#10#1616.413
#11#6.518.38.75
#13#1815.915.5
#12#917.810.5
#14#1117.112.5
#15#1915.717
#16#14.516.515.25
#17#1316.615
#18#1217.015
#19#20.515.519.75
#20#20.515.520.25
#21#1716.019
#22#2514.223.5
#23#2314.723
#24#2214.923
#25#2414.524.5
#26#2612.626
Geno SmithQBPublished #26vs. GBNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB26.
i

Default order follows the published expert rankings. Average-rank sorting uses the matched comparison ranks. These are positional ranks, not an overall cross-position ranking. Bars show only the rank difference: orange left means Vegas ranks higher; purple right means Experts rank higher. A dot at zero means the same rank. Every row uses the same scale within the selected position. Search and direction filters preserve that scale. Projected points are our Standard estimates from sportsbook props. Comparison ranks reorder only the matched players; they are not the published expert ranks. Published ranks come from Boris Chen and appear under each name. No expert point projections are displayed.

Methodology ↗

Standard rankings loaded

THE PLAYER PERSPECTIVE
PLAYER DETAIL
KS

BUF / WR

Khalil Shakir

Vegas ranks higher
EXPERTSWR50
/
VEGASWR32

18 ranks apart · 59 matched WRs

THE EXPERT VIEW

Tier 9vs. DET
Published position rank
WR51
Average expert rank
51.11
Updated Sep 17, 9:01 AM ETBoris Chen · FantasyPros data ↗
Reddit context100% scored

6 positive27 neutral5 negative

Mentions in 7 days
38
Discussion threads
26
24h mention change
-3
Weighted sentiment
+5.4 / 100
Our prop-derived estimate↗

6.7STD pts

3 sportsbooks · Week 2

YOUR TEAM. YOUR NEXT MOVE.

Starting Khalil Shakir?

Text an AI fantasy assistant your options. Get a recommendation with the reasoning, then ask a follow-up.

7 days, up to 10 alert texts and 12 advice replies. The allowances are separate. No card or automatic charge.

Saved pregame market data: Sep 17, 2:23 PM ET – Sep 21, 2:23 PM ET. Each player’s inputs were saved before kickoff; source update times differ.

Methodology ↗
144 players comparedWhy this many?

Players with both sources are compared. Other verified expert-ranked players remain listed with their published rank and no Vegas estimate.

  1. 157Verified weekly expert players
  2. 144Qualifying sportsbook estimates
  3. 144Matched on both sides

We require a matching position, this week’s opponent, a current source timestamp, core sportsbook markets and a future kickoff at capture. Each position needs at least five matches. Missing props or rankings reduce the overlap.

2026 · WEEK 2 RECAP · STANDARD

Who had it right?

Link to this recap ↗

Vegas finished closer. 144 players scored against their saved pregame rankings.

Experts · FantasyPros via Boris Chen10.44 ranks offVegas · our sportsbook-based estimates9.56 ranks off

Average distance from actual position rank; lower is better. Both sides face the same players within each position. Tied fantasy scores share an average rank. This is one week’s result, not evidence of a lasting edge.

Confirmed inactives stay in the original comparison at zero: Michael Pittman, Puka Nacua, Nico Collins. Their presence reflects the saved board’s injury freshness; source updates were not simultaneous. Excluding them and re-ranking the remaining 141 players gives Experts 9.69 ranks off and Vegas 8.88 ranks off.

Read the Week 2 recap: Adams, Schultz and the biggest disagreements →

Who won each position? · Standard
PositionWinnerExpertsAvg. ranks offVegasAvg. ranks off
QB26 playersExperts6.927.46
RB35 playersVegas7.716.63
WR59 playersVegas14.9013.39
TE24 playersVegas7.256.67
See all 144 player results
Actual points and ranks within the matched position group · Standard
PlayerPos.Actual pointsActual rankExpert rankVegas rankCloser
Josh AllenQB40.82111Tie
Jared GoffQB29.7821318Experts
Dak PrescottQB29.76358Experts
Patrick MahomesQB28.9841411Vegas
Brock PurdyQB28.48566.5Experts
Matthew StaffordQB26.9861519Experts
Bryce YoungQB24.0872117Vegas
Tyler ShoughQB22.3881920.5Experts
C.J. StroudQB17.0292020.5Experts
Joe BurrowQB16.1810814.5Experts
Jalen HurtsQB16.161134Vegas
Lamar JacksonQB14.81222Tie
Jayden DanielsQB14.741373Experts
Bo NixQB14.12141812Vegas
Jordan LoveQB13.8151614.5Vegas
Malik WillisQB12.48162225Experts
Baker MayfieldQB12.18171713Experts
Daniel JonesQB11.4182422Vegas
Drake MayeQB8.0219116.5Experts
Justin HerbertQB7.8820910Vegas
Caleb WilliamsQB7.722145Vegas
Jacoby BrissettQB6.5222524Vegas
Carson WentzQB6.32232323Tie
Trevor LawrenceQB6.16241016Vegas
Aaron RodgersQB3.98252626Tie
Jaxson DartQB0.826129Experts
Jonathan TaylorRB25.2157Experts
James CookRB19.9266Tie
Christian McCaffreyRB18.6344Tie
Kenneth WalkerRB17.8475Vegas
Jahmyr GibbsRB17.3511Tie
Omarion HamptonRB15.561115Experts
Derrick HenryRB14.7733Tie
Kyren WilliamsRB13.78129.5Vegas
Chuba HubbardRB12.492420Vegas
Bhayshul TutenRB12.2102627Experts
Aaron JonesRB10.5112913Vegas
De'Von AchaneRB9.3121417Experts
Blake CorumRB9.213.53030Tie
Breece HallRB9.213.51712Vegas
Bucky IrvingRB9151815Vegas
Chase BrownRB8.2161619Experts
Bijan RobinsonRB8.11722Tie
D'Andre SwiftRB7.9181318Vegas
Jaylen WarrenRB7.7192826Vegas
MarShawn LloydRB6.6202725Vegas
Tony PollardRB6.5213331Vegas
Ashton JeantyRB6.322911Vegas
Kyle MonangaiRB5.8233132Experts
Cam SkatteboRB5.5241922.5Vegas
Travis EtienneRB5.1252329Experts
Javonte WilliamsRB526108Experts
Quinshon JudkinsRB4.8272524Experts
Jeremiyah LoveRB4.5282128Vegas
Rico DowdleRB4.4293233Experts
Jadarian PriceRB4302222.5Vegas
Rhamondre StevensonRB2.6312021Vegas
David MontgomeryRB2.4321515Tie
Saquon BarkleyRB23389.5Vegas
Kenny GainwellRB1.5343534Vegas
Jonathon BrooksRB1.1353435Vegas
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR33.5125Experts
Davante AdamsWR31.52187Vegas
CeeDee LambWR27.3374Vegas
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR26.2412Vegas
Ja'Marr ChaseWR19.5533Tie
Tre TuckerWR17.965246Vegas
DeVonta SmithWR17.771115Experts
Stefon DiggsWR16.783628Vegas
Denzel BostonWR15.595857.5Vegas
Chris OlaveWR14.610910.5Vegas
Jaylen WaddleWR13.8112424.5Experts
Garrett WilsonWR11.7121512Vegas
Christian WatsonWR10.113.51014Vegas
Tetairoa McMillanWR10.113.52316.5Vegas
Parker WashingtonWR9.8152116.5Vegas
Romeo DoubsWR9.6164040.5Experts
Tee HigginsWR9.5171723Experts
Xavier WorthyWR8.5184840.5Vegas
Rashee RiceWR8.3191618.5Vegas
Dontayvion WicksWR7.4205553Vegas
Emeka EgbukaWR7.3212026Experts
Josh DownsWR7.2224737Vegas
Jalen CokerWR6.6233130.5Vegas
Devaughn VeleWR6.4244946Vegas
Adonai MitchellWR6.3255656Tie
Chris GodwinWR5.826.53042Experts
Matthew GoldenWR5.826.53530.5Vegas
Justin JeffersonWR5.52846Vegas
Mike EvansWR5.4291421Vegas
Terry McLaurinWR5302624.5Experts
Drake LondonWR4.9311921Vegas
Rome OdunzeWR4.3322533.5Vegas
Brian ThomasWR433.54249Experts
George PickensWR433.589Vegas
Rashid ShaheedWR3.9355759Experts
Khalil ShakirWR3.8365032Vegas
Deebo SamuelWR3.537.53238.5Vegas
Ladd McConkeyWR3.537.53436Vegas
Jameson WilliamsWR3.3392221Experts
Luther BurdenWR3.2402727Tie
Jakobi MeyersWR2.8414343.5Experts
Carnell TateWR2.742.54446Experts
DK MetcalfWR2.742.52818.5Experts
Courtland SuttonWR2.5443333.5Vegas
KC ConcepcionWR2.2455148Vegas
Jordan AddisonWR2.1464138.5Experts
Caleb DouglasWR1.9475351Vegas
Michael WilsonWR1.8483751Vegas
Quentin JohnstonWR1.4492929Tie
Alec PierceWR1.1503935Experts
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR0.9515451Vegas
Keenan AllenWR0.5525957.5Vegas
Jayden ReedWR0.4534643.5Experts
Malik NabersWR0.1541313Tie
Marvin HarrisonWR056.53854.5Vegas
Michael Pittman · InactiveWR056.54554.5Vegas
Nico Collins · InactiveWR056.568Vegas
Puka Nacua · InactiveWR056.551Experts
DJ MooreWR-0.1591210.5Experts
Jake FergusonTE16.311720Experts
Travis KelceTE16.12117Vegas
Dalton KincaidTE15.5354Vegas
Dalton SchultzTE144.51914Vegas
George KittleTE144.598Vegas
Sam LaPortaTE11.2665Experts
Trey McBrideTE10.1711Tie
Tyler WarrenTE8.48311Vegas
AJ BarnerTE6.992223Experts
Juwan JohnsonTE6.6101215.5Experts
Harold FanninTE5.4111318.5Experts
Mark AndrewsTE4.912102.5Experts
Hunter HenryTE4131811Vegas
Cade OttonTE3.8142418.5Vegas
Pat FreiermuthTE3.4152021.5Experts
Isaiah LikelyTE3.316811Vegas
T.J. HockensonTE2.9172117Vegas
Michael MayerTE2.3181511Experts
Brenton StrangeTE1.7191615.5Experts
Kyle PittsTE1.520.51421.5Vegas
Tucker KraftTE1.520.546Vegas
Dallas GoedertTE0.422711Vegas
Colston LovelandTE0.32322.5Vegas
Mike GesickiTE0242324Vegas
Scoring and result sources

Final game status: ESPN. Results: Sleeper’s raw Week 2 stats, checked Sep 22, 2026. Scoring: 1 point per 25 passing yards, 4 per passing TD, −2 per interception; 1 per 10 rushing/receiving yards, 6 per rushing/receiving or return TD, −2 per lost fumble, 2 per two-point conversion, and 0 per reception. No yardage bonuses. Zero-point results require confirmed participation or a sourced inactive report; absent stats are never assumed to be zero.

Inactive evidence: Michael Pittman.

Inactive evidence: Nico Collins.

Inactive evidence: Puka Nacua.

Latest saved prediction archive saved Sep 21, 2:23 PM EDT. Each player’s inputs were saved before their own kickoff. Expert and sportsbook sources can have different update times. Expert and Vegas ranks cover this matched group, not every NFL player. Which experts?

WEEK 2 COMPARISON

The same players. Two rankings.

Expert consensus from FantasyPros via Boris Chen. Vegas fantasy estimates calculated from posted sportsbook props.

Both sides rank the same matched players within each position. We verify the expert file’s week, scoring format and opponent, and require usable pregame sportsbook coverage. Published source ranks and timestamps appear in each player’s details. The source files don’t identify individual contributing analysts.

Vegas points are our estimates, not fantasy totals published by sportsbooks. Sources update on their collection schedules; gaps and delays can reduce coverage. This link always refers to 2026 Week 2. Unplayed games keep updating as props arrive. Each player’s saved estimates stop updating at their kickoff; newer weeks never replace this edition. Players without qualifying Vegas data stay visible with their published expert rank.

See who had Week 1 right →