2026 / WEEK 2

Experts vs. Vegas

The Week 2 results are in.
See how the saved pregame rankings held up.

147 players comparedHalf PPRFantasyPros via Boris Chen ↗Week 2 recap ↓
Which experts?

The expert column is FantasyPros consensus via Boris Chen. Boris Chen aggregates the rankings and calculates tiers; these aren’t his personal picks or rankings created by Squawk.

The saved weekly ranking files don’t list the contributing analysts or an expert count, so we can’t reliably name the individual experts behind this snapshot.

The recap grades this consensus as a whole. It does not grade individual analysts.

Pregame rankings locked · Saved Sep 21, 2:23 PM ET

YOUR TEAM. YOUR NEXT MOVE.

Two rankings. One lineup spot.

Text an AI fantasy assistant your options. Get a recommendation with the reasoning, then ask a follow-up.

7 days, up to 10 alert texts and 12 advice replies. The allowances are separate. No card or automatic charge.

27 players / Half PPR

Comparison ranks are among the players with both sources, not the full expert rankings. Published expert ranks appear under each name. 1 more players are listed below with no matching Vegas estimate.

ExpertsVegasRank
Vegas higher ←0→ Experts higher
#1#123.81
#2#220.02
#3#419.13.5
#4#518.94.5
#5#818.16.5
#6#6.518.36.25
#7#319.85
#8#14.516.511.25
#9#1017.49.5
#10#1616.413
#11#6.518.38.75
#13#1815.915.5
#12#917.810.5
#14#1117.112.5
#15#1915.717
#16#14.516.515.25
#17#1316.615
#18#1217.015
#19#20.515.519.75
#20#20.515.520.25
#21#1716.019
#22#2514.223.5
#23#2314.723
#24#2214.923
#25#2414.524.5
#26#2612.626
Geno SmithQBPublished #26vs. GBNo matching Vegas estimate yet. Expert rank: QB26.
i

Default order follows the published expert rankings. Average-rank sorting uses the matched comparison ranks. These are positional ranks, not an overall cross-position ranking. Bars show only the rank difference: orange left means Vegas ranks higher; purple right means Experts rank higher. A dot at zero means the same rank. Every row uses the same scale within the selected position. Search and direction filters preserve that scale. Projected points are our Half PPR estimates from sportsbook props. Comparison ranks reorder only the matched players; they are not the published expert ranks. Published ranks come from Boris Chen and appear under each name. No expert point projections are displayed.

Methodology ↗

Half PPR rankings loaded

THE PLAYER PERSPECTIVE
PLAYER DETAIL
KS

BUF / WR

Khalil Shakir

Vegas ranks higher
EXPERTSWR48
/
VEGASWR30.5

17.5 ranks apart · 60 matched WRs

THE EXPERT VIEW

Tier 7vs. DET
Published position rank
WR49
Average expert rank
48.36
Updated Sep 17, 9:00 AM ETBoris Chen · FantasyPros data ↗
Reddit context100% scored

6 positive27 neutral5 negative

Mentions in 7 days
38
Discussion threads
26
24h mention change
-3
Weighted sentiment
+5.4 / 100
Our prop-derived estimate↗

8.9½ PPR pts

3 sportsbooks · Week 2

YOUR TEAM. YOUR NEXT MOVE.

Starting Khalil Shakir?

Text an AI fantasy assistant your options. Get a recommendation with the reasoning, then ask a follow-up.

7 days, up to 10 alert texts and 12 advice replies. The allowances are separate. No card or automatic charge.

Saved pregame market data: Sep 17, 2:23 PM ET – Sep 21, 2:23 PM ET. Each player’s inputs were saved before kickoff; source update times differ.

Methodology ↗
147 players comparedWhy this many?

Players with both sources are compared. Other verified expert-ranked players remain listed with their published rank and no Vegas estimate.

  1. 156Verified weekly expert players
  2. 147Qualifying sportsbook estimates
  3. 147Matched on both sides

We require a matching position, this week’s opponent, a current source timestamp, core sportsbook markets and a future kickoff at capture. Each position needs at least five matches. Missing props or rankings reduce the overlap.

2026 · WEEK 2 RECAP · HALF PPR

Who had it right?

Link to this recap ↗

Vegas finished closer. 147 players scored against their saved pregame rankings.

Experts · FantasyPros via Boris Chen10.53 ranks offVegas · our sportsbook-based estimates9.90 ranks off

Average distance from actual position rank; lower is better. Both sides face the same players within each position. Tied fantasy scores share an average rank. This is one week’s result, not evidence of a lasting edge.

Confirmed inactives stay in the original comparison at zero: Michael Pittman, Puka Nacua, Nico Collins. Their presence reflects the saved board’s injury freshness; source updates were not simultaneous. Excluding them and re-ranking the remaining 144 players gives Experts 9.82 ranks off and Vegas 9.21 ranks off.

Read the Week 2 recap: Adams, Schultz and the biggest disagreements →

Who won each position? · Half PPR
PositionWinnerExpertsAvg. ranks offVegasAvg. ranks off
QB26 playersExperts6.927.46
RB36 playersVegas7.926.61
WR60 playersVegas15.3214.35
TE25 playersVegas6.566.48
See all 147 player results
Actual points and ranks within the matched position group · Half PPR
PlayerPos.Actual pointsActual rankExpert rankVegas rankCloser
Josh AllenQB40.82111Tie
Jared GoffQB29.7821318Experts
Dak PrescottQB29.76358Experts
Patrick MahomesQB28.9841411Vegas
Brock PurdyQB28.48566.5Experts
Matthew StaffordQB26.9861519Experts
Bryce YoungQB24.0872117Vegas
Tyler ShoughQB22.3881920.5Experts
C.J. StroudQB17.0292020.5Experts
Joe BurrowQB16.1810814.5Experts
Jalen HurtsQB16.161134Vegas
Lamar JacksonQB14.81222Tie
Jayden DanielsQB14.741373Experts
Bo NixQB14.12141812Vegas
Jordan LoveQB13.8151614.5Vegas
Malik WillisQB12.48162225Experts
Baker MayfieldQB12.18171713Experts
Daniel JonesQB11.4182422Vegas
Drake MayeQB8.0219116.5Experts
Justin HerbertQB7.8820910Vegas
Caleb WilliamsQB7.722145Vegas
Jacoby BrissettQB6.5222524Vegas
Carson WentzQB6.32232323Tie
Trevor LawrenceQB6.16241016Vegas
Aaron RodgersQB3.98252626Tie
Jaxson DartQB0.826129Experts
Jonathan TaylorRB27.2167Experts
Kenneth WalkerRB20.8254Vegas
Christian McCaffreyRB20.6333Tie
James CookRB20.4476Vegas
Jahmyr GibbsRB20.3511Tie
Omarion HamptonRB16.561216Experts
Derrick HenryRB16.2745Vegas
Kyren WilliamsRB14.781510Vegas
Chuba HubbardRB13.492220Vegas
Bhayshul TutenRB13.2102628Experts
Breece HallRB11.7111613Vegas
Rachaad WhiteRB11.3123634Vegas
Bucky IrvingRB11131815Vegas
De'Von AchaneRB10.8141111.5Vegas
Aaron JonesRB10.5152814Vegas
D'Andre SwiftRB10.4161418Tie
Blake CorumRB9.717.53331.5Vegas
Chase BrownRB9.717.51319Vegas
Bijan RobinsonRB9.61922Tie
Jaylen WarrenRB8.7202724.5Vegas
Ashton JeantyRB8.32189Vegas
MarShawn LloydRB7.6222926Vegas
Cam SkatteboRB7.5231922.5Vegas
Quinshon JudkinsRB7.3242524.5Vegas
Tony PollardRB7253231.5Vegas
Kyle MonangaiRB6.8263033Experts
Javonte WilliamsRB6.527108Experts
Travis EtienneRB6.1282129Vegas
Jeremiyah LoveRB6292427Vegas
Rico DowdleRB5.4303130Vegas
Jadarian PriceRB4.5312322.5Experts
David MontgomeryRB3.4321717Tie
Rhamondre StevensonRB3.1332021Vegas
Kenny GainwellRB3343435Experts
Saquon BarkleyRB2.535911.5Vegas
Jonathon BrooksRB1.6363536Vegas
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR38124Experts
Davante AdamsWR35.52207Vegas
CeeDee LambWR31.3366Tie
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR30.7412Vegas
Ja'Marr ChaseWR23533Tie
DeVonta SmithWR22.761014Experts
Tre TuckerWR20.475447.5Vegas
Stefon DiggsWR19.283027.5Vegas
Chris OlaveWR18.6989Vegas
Denzel BostonWR18105660Experts
Jaylen WaddleWR17.8112322Vegas
Garrett WilsonWR14.2121310Experts
Parker WashingtonWR13.3131717.5Experts
Tetairoa McMillanWR12.6142215Vegas
Christian WatsonWR12.1151117.5Vegas
Tee HigginsWR12161925Experts
Romeo DoubsWR11.1174240.5Vegas
Xavier WorthyWR11184940.5Vegas
Josh DownsWR10.7193934Vegas
Jalen CokerWR10.6203229Vegas
Rashee RiceWR10.3211617.5Vegas
Dontayvion WicksWR9.9225556.5Experts
Adonai MitchellWR9.3235959Tie
Devaughn VeleWR8.9245244.5Vegas
Emeka EgbukaWR8.8252127.5Vegas
Matthew GoldenWR7.8263432Vegas
Chris GodwinWR7.3273142Experts
George PickensWR728.5911Vegas
Justin JeffersonWR728.545Vegas
Drake LondonWR6.930.51820Vegas
Mike EvansWR6.930.51523.5Vegas
Malik WashingtonWR6.7325854.5Vegas
Terry McLaurinWR6332423.5Experts
Rome OdunzeWR5.834.52736Vegas
Tre' HarrisWR5.834.56056.5Vegas
Brian ThomasWR5.5364752Experts
Khalil ShakirWR5.3374830.5Vegas
KC ConcepcionWR5.2385149Vegas
Deebo SamuelWR539.53338.5Vegas
Ladd McConkeyWR539.53735Experts
DK MetcalfWR4.741.52917.5Experts
Luther BurdenWR4.741.52626Tie
Jameson WilliamsWR4.3432521Experts
Carnell TateWR4.2444447.5Experts
Courtland SuttonWR4453633Experts
Jakobi MeyersWR3.3464044.5Vegas
Jordan AddisonWR3.1474538.5Experts
Caleb DouglasWR2.9485054.5Experts
Michael WilsonWR2.8493550Vegas
Quentin JohnstonWR1.9502830.5Vegas
Alec PierceWR1.6514337Experts
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR1.4525344.5Experts
Keenan AllenWR1535758Experts
Jayden ReedWR0.9544644.5Experts
Malik NabersWR0.6551412.5Experts
Marvin HarrisonWR057.54153Vegas
Michael Pittman · InactiveWR057.53851Vegas
Nico Collins · InactiveWR057.578Vegas
Puka Nacua · InactiveWR057.551Experts
DJ MooreWR-0.1601212.5Vegas
Travis KelceTE20.61910Experts
Dalton SchultzTE2021610Vegas
Dalton KincaidTE19344Tie
Jake FergusonTE18.341719Experts
George KittleTE1651012Experts
Sam LaPortaTE14.2665Experts
Trey McBrideTE14.1711Tie
Tyler WarrenTE11.4838Vegas
Juwan JohnsonTE8.691115Experts
Harold FanninTE7.910.51318Experts
Mark AndrewsTE7.910.5122.5Experts
AJ BarnerTE7.4122223.5Experts
Cade OttonTE6.3132322Vegas
Isaiah LikelyTE5.814810Vegas
Hunter HenryTE5.5151814Vegas
Pat FreiermuthTE5.4162120.5Vegas
T.J. HockensonTE4.4172017Vegas
Michael MayerTE3.818146.5Experts
Brenton StrangeTE2.7191916Experts
Tucker KraftTE2.52056.5Vegas
Evan EngramTE2.2212523.5Vegas
Kyle PittsTE2221520.5Vegas
Dallas GoedertTE0.923713Vegas
Colston LovelandTE0.82422.5Vegas
Mike GesickiTE0252425Vegas
Scoring and result sources

Final game status: ESPN. Results: Sleeper’s raw Week 2 stats, checked Sep 22, 2026. Scoring: 1 point per 25 passing yards, 4 per passing TD, −2 per interception; 1 per 10 rushing/receiving yards, 6 per rushing/receiving or return TD, −2 per lost fumble, 2 per two-point conversion, and 0.5 per reception. No yardage bonuses. Zero-point results require confirmed participation or a sourced inactive report; absent stats are never assumed to be zero.

Inactive evidence: Michael Pittman.

Inactive evidence: Nico Collins.

Inactive evidence: Puka Nacua.

Latest saved prediction archive saved Sep 21, 2:23 PM EDT. Each player’s inputs were saved before their own kickoff. Expert and sportsbook sources can have different update times. Expert and Vegas ranks cover this matched group, not every NFL player. Which experts?

WEEK 2 COMPARISON

The same players. Two rankings.

Expert consensus from FantasyPros via Boris Chen. Vegas fantasy estimates calculated from posted sportsbook props.

Both sides rank the same matched players within each position. We verify the expert file’s week, scoring format and opponent, and require usable pregame sportsbook coverage. Published source ranks and timestamps appear in each player’s details. The source files don’t identify individual contributing analysts.

Vegas points are our estimates, not fantasy totals published by sportsbooks. Sources update on their collection schedules; gaps and delays can reduce coverage. This link always refers to 2026 Week 2. Unplayed games keep updating as props arrive. Each player’s saved estimates stop updating at their kickoff; newer weeks never replace this edition. Players without qualifying Vegas data stay visible with their published expert rank.

See who had Week 1 right →